Writer: Guernman 
Date:Monday January 28 2013
Time: 1:25PM
They may not reveal the whole story, but much can be gleaned from the realms of statistics. Overall they paint a very promising picture of our current team, if only by confirming what we already know for the most part. Our defence is stronger and in Lloris we have a keeper of real class. We have one of the best central midfield pairings in the league with Sandro and Dembele, both of whom have remarkable tackling stats. The team's passing success is very good while our two star wingers are up there with the best chance creators. In fact, from across Europe's five top leagues Spurs have taken more shots per game than all but three teams.
Unfortunately, our goals scored record is way down the charts at 14th. If the stats tell us anything at all, it is that our two strikers are really quite pants. I cannot help but laugh when commentators perpetuate one of the great urban legends with remarks like 'you know when he gets a chance in that area there is only one place the ball is going to end up...' for it is a complete myth that Jermain Defoe is a natural finisher. In a season where he has, by most accounts, been 'hot' for the best part, Defoe has scored 10 goals from 94 shots. That is a 10.6% chance conversion rate which is quite frankly appalling. Adebayor is no better, but to be fair we have built our attack around Defoe and Ade perhaps suffers from being second choice.
Dempsey is a better goal poacher while both Lennon and Bale are more likely to convert a chance than Defoe. The point of this article, though, is not to attack our attackers just because they can't. Rather, I want to ask you to what extent should we take into account conversion statistics when the finishing touch to our team would just be a striker with a finishing touch. Many have called for the signing of Negredo because at 12 million he would be an absolute steal, while the notion that we might blow 7 - 10 on Gary Hooper would be, well frankly, a bit of a let down. Leandro Damiao would be fantastic of course, Heung-Min Son... well yes, and perhaps he could sell some shirts in Asia.
With the hype that surrounds Negredo, I was surprised to discover that his finishing is almost as bad as Defoe's, with a conversion rate of 1 in 8 chances. Not exactly the upgrade we dream of. Leandro is (really) a natural finisher, last season he converted 1 in 4.6 in the league, while scoring 10 from 13 games. That's impressive and it is why we would clearly like to buy him, but also why he may be out of our reach. In Son we have a very gifted player who again finishes 1 in 4.5. Certainly a significant upgrade. However, by far and away the best statistical finisher is Gary Hooper with an remarkably high conversion rate of 1 goal from every 2.46 shots. He also comes with the higher assist rate (Negredo has zero assists this season).
Well what do you expect, I hear you cry, from the Scottish League? But it is not like Negredo doesn't face relatively easy opposition most weeks too. Of course I don't think that Hooper will maintain statistics like that in the PL, but they are nevertheless impressive figures which suggest the man is a clinical chance taker. I doubt Defoe would reach those numbers in any league. So bring me Leandro Damiao by all means Mr Levy, while Son would be most welcome too, but before we rush in to buy, in Negredo, another selfish 1 in 8 striker, I would welcome the prodigal son Hooper with open arms.
Written by Guernman
With friends like Madrid … (Tuesday June 18 2013)
Reality cheque!! (Tuesday June 18 2013)
Utter Nonsense (Monday June 17 2013)
Our midfield… (Monday June 17 2013)
WHO, WHERE and WHY?. (Sunday June 16 2013)
Adam Smith wants chance at Spurs or PL loan. (Saturday June 15 2013)
Musings of Nonsensical proportions. (Friday June 14 2013)
Wilshere to Man Utd (Friday June 14 2013)
What is an offer we can't refuse? (Thursday June 13 2013)
Now and Then (Thursday June 13 2013)
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| Latest Results | ||||
| Spurs | 1 | - | 0 | Sunderland |
| Stoke | 1 | - | 2 | Spurs |
| Chelsea | 2 | - | 2 | Spurs |
| Spurs | 1 | - | 0 | Southampton |
| Wigan | 2 | - | 2 | Spurs |
| Spurs | 3 | - | 1 | Man City |
| Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
| 2. Man City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 78 |
| 3. Chelsea | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 75 |
| 4. Arsenal | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 73 |
| 5. Spurs | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 72 |
| 6. Everton | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 63 |
| 7. Liverpool | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 28 | 61 |
| 8. WBA | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 | 49 |
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By the way, this is not me defending him and making a case for him. He's not the answer for where we're going but would be a great impact bench player. For the record, I liked what Obika did when he came on. Played off the shoulder of the last man, and scared them with his pace. Up to the moment he put his chance wide he did everything superbly. He let it bounce and managed his stride pattern to get into an optimal shooting position. I'm not sure what happened after that but it would be very harsh to blame him for us going out the cup.
As for stats, I always think the ones you can learn most from are the goals conceded and goals scored. That shares the best trends in football and directly correlates to the points tally.
Now where`s that fecking striker ,or maybe 2 .
Adebayor is as useful as a chocolate tea pot
Son is very dynamic. Negredo would be great, but really that will come down to him. He is being flogged and has not gone anywhere yet. A deal for him will happen at the last. Get in Son and Holtby and if we can pinch Negredo at the last, huzzah. If not we have at least addressed the three areas that are all cause for concern, striker, string-puller and wing options. Willian too may well be a last second thing. His club are cash rich. They don't need to sell. What about Aspas? What about Castaignos. I think Hooper would be fine. I would just be very wary of him being the "solution". It absolutely needs to be addressed. I believe Dempsey will do us all proud, but he really needs work off of. COYS
,br>Where`s our attacking player to rival Lennon & Bale ? & where`s that striker who can do what Defoe & Adebayor struggle to do ,hit the damn target .
It`s more about what a player does for the team ,stats will never show you that .Stats may tell you Sandro is a poor player ,we know otherwise .
One of my favourite ever players ,Iniesta ,stats say he`s not all that
Defoe is quite simply , a wannabe
Yes, the players we get need a football brain. The education cannot really be compared to baseball where most players are University educated, and unlike football and basketball, those players do not generally get "helped" through the system. We need a string puller that can create chances for Dempsey, Ade and Defoe taking in to account their styles of play. We need a striker who can play in a partner, or pull defenders to him to allow Bale or Lennon room. In Dempsey we have a guy who just knows where to be for rebounds and for what I call "garbage" goals. Whoever it is, must fit within the team. This is why the job is so difficult for AVB and Levy. Harry spent 40M on Defoe, Keane and Crouch. Can anyone say they paid off? It certainly cut a huge hole in our transfer budget and our wage budget. Keane was surplus in under a year. Crouch in 18 months. Defoe, by last year was an impact sub. I am not just picking on Defoe. Bentley's signuing has caused huge issues too. Another 15M and wages that are not inexpensive for a guy who has barely featured. 62 appearances for Spurs in all those years. We cannot afford thes types of mistakes. COYS
Liverpool haven`t been signing quality for a very long time ,selling Torres for Carroll & Downing ha ha ha ha ha ha ha .
,br>Like i said ,buy smart not big .
If you look at Iniesta's stats (not the glory ones) he, like Modric, proves to be a cut above. Very few loose passes, lots of interceptions, great tackle ratio, almost all passes are forward. It all depends what you look for in stats. People lament the loss of Modric. I actually think that Dembele and Sandro have changed our style of play in that they really push the ball forward ith pace. With defences cheating outside to limit Bale and Lennon, they are pushing in to all the gaps left up the gut. What they lack is that clinical pass. How much that is as a result of poor runs and how much is due to the lack of precision of Sandro and Dembele, I don't know. But if they can get shooting boots on and start getting laces through the ball, there will be rebounds. That's where Dempsey and Defoe could be lethal. Hopefully Holtby will be that guy to be able to play the 1-2's with Sandro and Dembele. We ae too obvious. We need pace inserted in to our creativity. COYS
http://www.tottenhamhotspur.com/spurs/News/lewis-holtby-january-move-28012013.page?
The first time we got 4th both Gomes & Pav were instrumental in us getting CL football ,i`ll always respect both of them for that .
But i also feel Berbatov & Modric in this team we could actually be matching Manchester United this year .For me they or players similar are the missing keys
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lewis_Holtby