How many Points to get 4th Place?
Since season 1995/96 the lowest points tally for 4th Place was 57 (2004) the highest was 68 in (2010) until last season when we hit the highest 4th place total in the PL when we got 69, but we all know what happened after that! Apart from 3 seasons where 4th was achieved in the 50's all the other 13 Seasons the points tally has been in the 60's. This season could see 70 points as the minimum requirement.
Scum have qualified for Champions League places 15 times in a row. This year, however, could just be the season that the Gooners don't make it into a Champions League place!!! If you look at the fixtures that are left for us and Citeh, Chelski and Le Arse there are some very interesting permutations. It's a statement of the blindingly obvious I know but we really cannot afford to draw against the Scum on Sunday the 3rd March because of how the fixtures unfold for them and us in March, April and May. Having seen Liverpool shoot themselves in the foot against the Baggies you have to hope that we can create a similar score when we go up to Anfield.
The most stand out fixture for us is the Citeh v Chelski on the 24th February. Whichever way that one goes a Win by us at Wet Spam would suddenly make our season potential look very different, especially because we have Chelski at the Bridge on the 13th April and Citeh at the Lane on the 20th. If we go into those two matches a couple or 3 points between us we are into a whole new ball game! But we all know that Scum down the road have a habit of coming up on the rails and overtaking us. Last season we blew a 10 point lead and then watched the unthinkable happen as our 4th place turned into effectively 5th.
Swansea away will not be an easy fixture and Wigan always manage to pull off some unexpected results just when you think they have been given the last rights. Hopefully, we may have more to play for by the time we get to the Brittania to play Stoke in May and so our run in is helped by having Citeh and Scum at the Lane with the one that you really can't call at the Bridge.
Inevitably it's the Scum's run that requires closer scrutiny as they appear to be our most obvious rival for 4th over Everton. Le Arse have, on paper, a better set of fixtures. Swansea could actually have a hand in the 4th place contest as they play both us and the Scum at the Liberty. 6 of Scums last 12 are at home. 6 of their 12 are also against opposition in the bottom half of the table including; Fulham, Aston Villa. QPR, Wigan, Reading and Newcastle. However, they do have Manure at the Emirates and Newcastle away as the last game of the season could be tasty!
So what do you reckon we will need in terms of points to see us across the line?
Written by OyVeh Maria